Who's betting on “Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?
Politics · $1.8M volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
35% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago it was split.
810 wallets hold a position worth $961K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 741 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsdiz1337, with $257K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is sumolive, with $66K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $49K on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $459 on No; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $5.3K on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 10 wallets betting $116K on No.
- Smart money share
- 35%
- Holders
- 487
- Money on it
- $776K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 2 · $49K
- Insider flags
- 1 · $5.3K
- Smart money share
- 11% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 323
- Money on it
- $185K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 2 · $459
- Insider flags
- 10 · $116K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| vsdiz1337 | $257K | -$6.5K | 50% of 2 |
| 0x9f89…aa66 | $123K | - | - |
| bakasepra | $54K | +$0 | - |
| defillama7sniper | $48K | +$448K | 88% of 51 |
| elephantpiglucky | $18K | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| sumolive | $66K | +$0 | - |
| anoin123 | $14K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| izcikagamoji | $14K | -$2.6K | - |
| Rayderr | $7.4K | +$0 | - |
| Maki777 | $5.7K | -$3.1K | 88% of 8 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
810 wallets hold a position worth $961K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 741 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsdiz1337, with $257K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is sumolive, with $66K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($5.3K) and 10 wallets on No ($116K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.