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Who's betting on “Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $923K volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $923K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

85% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.

235 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 234 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $312 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AshleyThomas105, with $6 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 35 markets (29% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
85%
Holders
231
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
35%
Holders
4
Money on it
$11
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$312+$1.8M69% of 1,104
kqwjehrbqwemnnoise$166+$37953% of 30
J-E-Rwhale$104+$249K52% of 642
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$101+$15K77% of 22
asdf8888$79-$29K78% of 23
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
AshleyThomas105$6-$029% of 35
PriscillaIvanov634$3+$052% of 42
EliseMurphy638$1-$026% of 43
4eloveker$1+$0100% of 8
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

235 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 234 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $312 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AshleyThomas105, with $6 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 35 markets (29% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $923K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

85% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo