Who's betting on “Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?
Politics · $891K volume · Ends November 29, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $891K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
16% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
538 wallets hold a position worth $320K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 503 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $13K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Automatic-Jar, with $15K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 222 markets (42% won).
The insider radar has flagged 14 wallets betting $63K on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $2.8K on No.
- Smart money share
- 16% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 348
- Money on it
- $193K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 14 · $63K
- Smart money share
- 58% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 190
- Money on it
- $127K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $2.8K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $13K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| kaputen | $12K | -$487 | 37% of 187 |
| Icepie | $11K | +$0 | - |
| Adoniswin | $10.0K | +$0 | - |
| FunMike | $8.4K | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic-Jar | $15K | -$1.9K | 42% of 222 |
| Vespucciiwhale | $12K | +$7.9K | 60% of 242 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale | $9.4K | +$306K | 44% of 3,734 |
| 0x498d2... | $9.4K | +$0 | - |
| 0x8A582EA6Dc9767db5240a91B42a228941100ad0d-1782944932239 | $7.0K | +$99 | 88% of 8 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?"?
538 wallets hold a position worth $320K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 503 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $13K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Automatic-Jar, with $15K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 222 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $891K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
14 wallets on Yes ($63K) and 1 wallet on No ($2.8K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.