Who's betting on “Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?”?
Politics · $136K volume · Ends November 29, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
92% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 90 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.
77 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is wAiq-A.S, with $31 on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 569 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $926 on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 2,292 markets (65% won).
- Smart money share
- 92%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $154
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 2%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $947
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| wAiq-A.Sbalanced | $31 | +$2.8K | 57% of 569 |
| 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225noise | $12 | +$83K | 9% of 27,451 |
| e46m3whale | $11 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| alex20011noise | $10 | +$206K | 40% of 7,763 |
| donthackmenoise | $9 | +$914K | 29% of 69,972 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | $926 | -$6.8K | 65% of 2,292 |
| Leclerc04balanced | $20 | +$2.2K | 51% of 1,058 |
| 0xbc74…9002 | $1 | +$27 | 60% of 99 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is wAiq-A.S, with $31 on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 569 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $926 on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 2,292 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 90 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.