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Who's betting on “Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $2.5M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $2.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

53% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.

1,272 wallets hold a position worth $330K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,268 of them. The largest Yes holder is Fuentes31, with $25K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $74K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won).

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $311 on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 3 wallets betting $16K on Yes.

Yes17%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
53%
Holders
1,000
Money on it
$229K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
2 · $311
Insider flags
3 · $16K
No84%
Smart money share
12%
Holders
272
Money on it
$100K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Fuentes31whale$25K+$37K55% of 1,081
BurstedBubble$25K-$45K100% of 2
0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083$21K+$1.1K0% of 1
LeRoiSoleil$17K-$11K45% of 561
StudentMoneywhale$16K+$5.5K69% of 1,130
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
lastminwin$74K-$10K57% of 7
TLfishmaster$6.3K-$2.6K50% of 42
DFKwhale$3.5K+$41K81% of 762
eNakeVets$1.4K-$63K53% of 1,027
F2c$1.1K-$4.8K41% of 200
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

1,272 wallets hold a position worth $330K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,268 of them. The largest Yes holder is Fuentes31, with $25K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $74K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $2.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

53% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Is there insider betting on this market?

3 wallets on Yes ($16K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo