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Who's betting on “Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $831K volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $831K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

86% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.

263 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 263 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $7.0K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is xcvcdcbhyyuu, with $101 on it, $74 lifetime loss over 15 markets (47% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86%
Holders
237
Money on it
$31K
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
2%
Holders
26
Money on it
$617
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$7.0K+$1.8M69% of 1,104
J-E-Rwhale$2.7K+$249K52% of 642
11122noise$2.7K+$630K42% of 1,111
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$2.3K+$15K77% of 22
AnonymousUsernamewhale$1.9K+$350K70% of 5,075
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
xcvcdcbhyyuu$101-$7447% of 15
actbot$99-$9267% of 36
frrtyyy$65-$45634% of 67
fg48df48$60-$47% of 41
yyyiyyy$55-$4140% of 92
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

263 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 263 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $7.0K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is xcvcdcbhyyuu, with $101 on it, $74 lifetime loss over 15 markets (47% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $831K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo