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Who's betting on “Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $1.0M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

86% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.

303 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $321 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 4026, with $21 on it, $938 lifetime loss over 37 markets (51% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86%
Holders
295
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
33%
Holders
8
Money on it
$53
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$321+$1.8M69% of 1,104
petanimalwhale$104+$161K67% of 216
smoltraderwhale$81+$74K63% of 201
BabyGrootwhale$76+$56K68% of 743
AnonymousUsernamewhale$71+$350K70% of 5,075
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
4026$21-$93851% of 37
ABf89balanced$14+$2581% of 108
Andrea9189$5-$2431% of 65
0xEBF1a7DCBA80aB59b8a7c2FDE1Ffc1Bd1790817E-1765682858335noise$4+$1647% of 90
Danielle8326$3-$3130% of 53
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

303 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $321 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 4026, with $21 on it, $938 lifetime loss over 37 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo