Who's betting on “Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?”?
Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
48% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
127 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is albandito, with $305 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 116
- Money on it
- $636
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| albandito | $305 | +$0 | - |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale | $189 | +$1.2M | 57% of 972 |
| 0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale | $38 | +$228K | 71% of 202 |
| NyetRisknoise | $18 | +$180K | 38% of 34 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $15 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $1.1K | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| littlehipster | $24 | -$12 | 42% of 38 |
| ReginaDiaz651 | $5 | +$0 | 33% of 36 |
| SethShelton466 | $5 | -$0 | 42% of 38 |
| pigfhtydrtbalanced | $5 | +$245 | 98% of 63 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is albandito, with $305 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.