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Who's betting on “Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $10M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $10M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

73% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.

1,871 wallets hold a position worth $205K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,871 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $16K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is de5nuts, with $11K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 307 markets (46% won).

Yes5%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
73%
Holders
872
Money on it
$167K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No95%
Smart money share
65% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
999
Money on it
$38K
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ImJustKenwhale$16K+$2.3M65% of 1,065
orangeapplejuicenoise$11K+$13K55% of 40
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740$9.1K-$402K82% of 502
dsdfsfds$8.4K+$1.4K67% of 3
0xcf19…6402whale$8.3K+$173K54% of 469
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
de5nutswhale$11K+$154K46% of 307
0x6b2f…d452$1.2K+$22586% of 7
0xd5d8…a54f$1.1K+$50029% of 14
0x518e…d640$972+$16586% of 7
0x3201…58a7$809+$10350% of 8
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

1,871 wallets hold a position worth $205K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,871 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $16K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is de5nuts, with $11K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 307 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $10M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo