Who's betting on “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?”?
Politics · $4.2M volume · Closed · Updated October 6, 2026
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $4.2M has been traded on it.
83% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
1,591 wallets hold a position worth $467K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,591 of them.
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 686
- Money on it
- $233
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 73%
- Holders
- 905
- Money on it
- $466K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
- December 31$1.9M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money split
- October 31$1.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- November 30$121K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?"?
1,591 wallets hold a position worth $467K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,591 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?"?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $4.2M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $4.2M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.