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Who's betting on “Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $8.6M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $8.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

54% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

1,065 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,065 of them. The largest Yes holder is Predictor48, with $2.6K on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 58 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $5.3K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
54%
Holders
366
Money on it
$16K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
35%
Holders
699
Money on it
$24K
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Predictor48whale$2.6K+$1.4K74% of 58
MoriSan$2.4K+$3657% of 7
0xea3d…1600$1.4K-$2.3K26% of 35
TruthIsF1776$924+$0-
tsihkodiiveswhale$765+$26K83% of 476
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1$5.3K-$19K65% of 1,500
tugator$5.0K-$6.4K48% of 1,059
0x3a6f453340402BdDCfF481260b5c3DEd8F87e82f-1763019056568$274-$273% of 89
44666$274+$16486% of 7
Fermatternoise$249+$3.7K43% of 217
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,065 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,065 of them. The largest Yes holder is Predictor48, with $2.6K on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 58 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $5.3K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $8.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo