Who's betting on “Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Politics · $715K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $715K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
90% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
553 wallets hold a position worth $436K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 542 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $51K on it, $477K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $33K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
- Smart money share
- 90% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 406
- Money on it
- $364K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 20%
- Holders
- 147
- Money on it
- $72K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| flawfencewhale | $51K | +$477K | 75% of 478 |
| mr.oziwhale | $43K | +$763K | 65% of 1,071 |
| ethBELIVERwhale | $30K | +$361K | 69% of 49 |
| RdogTest | $25K | +$1.3K | 92% of 13 |
| dromedaryywhale | $13K | +$475K | 66% of 50 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $33K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960whale | $9.4K | +$98K | 64% of 380 |
| Golo | $7.0K | -$1.1K | 50% of 2 |
| 0x89AD2f89b0291415F2f67fF0E8e50eE1AF3ceaB4-1768599133899 | $6.8K | -$223 | 0% of 1 |
| 0xbDB40D7A6BeAAA05fb1e9c33046841EbF0C05DEC-1782073336280 | $4.1K | -$1.0K | - |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
553 wallets hold a position worth $436K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 542 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $51K on it, $477K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $33K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $715K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.