Who's betting on “Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?”?
Politics · $575K volume · Ends August 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $575K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
71% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 52 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
383 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 383 of them. The largest Yes holder is KoloJones, with $841 on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 22 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $34K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
- Smart money share
- 71% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 219
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 22%
- Holders
- 164
- Money on it
- $63K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| KoloJonesbalanced | $841 | +$3.3K | 95% of 22 |
| Mi-pucio | $728 | -$231 | 0% of 1 |
| Nadminoise | $723 | +$147K | 34% of 1,203 |
| Certify0148whale | $491 | +$18K | 59% of 109 |
| DOG-UndressedVersionwhale | $275 | +$15K | 69% of 214 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $34K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| 0xdc3E831cadwhale | $5.7K | +$84K | 55% of 1,063 |
| placerv2 | $5.5K | -$3.5K | 47% of 36 |
| 0x49F206 | $3.7K | -$42K | 61% of 709 |
| neetbetswhale | $1.8K | +$66K | 77% of 1,011 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?"?
383 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 383 of them. The largest Yes holder is KoloJones, with $841 on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 22 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $34K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $575K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 52 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.