Who's betting on “Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $335K volume · Ends November 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $335K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
47% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
196 wallets hold a position worth $100K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 194 of them. The largest Yes holder is 52centis, with $3.3K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 191 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is stupid22, with $17K on it, $98K lifetime loss over 979 markets (94% won).
- Smart money share
- 47% ▼ 11 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 104
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 39%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 40% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $85K
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52centis | $3.3K | -$45K | 37% of 191 |
| 0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095noise | $1.5K | +$2.6K | 45% of 293 |
| kaceohhhismyX | $1.4K | -$34K | 24% of 110 |
| UpDownUpDownnoise | $1.1K | +$325K | 14% of 200 |
| UntitledUser1whale | $686 | +$1.6K | 76% of 531 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| stupid22 | $17K | -$98K | 94% of 979 |
| anoin123 | $14K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| M2sx92kljs42whale | $8.4K | +$63K | 78% of 514 |
| GOLADS96 | $7.6K | -$248 | 76% of 55 |
| DooBieZwhale | $5.1K | +$8.6K | 54% of 1,098 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
- December 31$176K vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: No
- September 30$43K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?"?
196 wallets hold a position worth $100K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 194 of them. The largest Yes holder is 52centis, with $3.3K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 191 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is stupid22, with $17K on it, $98K lifetime loss over 979 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $335K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.