Who's betting on “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?”?
Politics · $36M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $36M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
23% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $2.9M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,990 of them. The largest Yes holder is GamblingRuinsLives, with $15K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is TraderSDG, with $491K on it, $61K lifetime loss over 16 markets (100% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $228K on No.
- Smart money share
- 23%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $81K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 61% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $2.8M
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 2 · $228K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| GamblingRuinsLives | $15K | +$0 | - |
| trumpery | $9.0K | +$0 | - |
| Lxxxxxnoise | $8.1K | +$7.5K | 50% of 62 |
| OkinawaMoongazer | $8.0K | -$860K | 92% of 37 |
| AmericanImperialism | $5.5K | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TraderSDG | $491K | -$61K | 100% of 16 |
| Macks22sniper | $199K | +$1.0M | 80% of 117 |
| elmcap2whale | $193K | +$2.1M | 86% of 1,082 |
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | $172K | -$160K | 83% of 887 |
| keribitwhale | $102K | +$108K | 80% of 496 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?"?
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $2.9M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,990 of them. The largest Yes holder is GamblingRuinsLives, with $15K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is TraderSDG, with $491K on it, $61K lifetime loss over 16 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $36M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
23% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.