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Who's betting on “Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $23M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

77% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

903 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 902 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $1.4K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 990ll9, with $160 on it, $78 lifetime profit over 20 markets (60% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
77%
Holders
489
Money on it
$4.7K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
31%
Holders
414
Money on it
$3.3K
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
gloriafosterwhale$1.4K+$1.6K92% of 208
petanimalwhale$985+$161K67% of 216
SecondWindCapital$397-$146K82% of 34
mombilwhale$269+$497K63% of 1,035
XVFlow$180-$368K80% of 1,001
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
990ll9noise$160+$7860% of 20
arroyocarl$111-$1822% of 69
norrisalexandra$107-$113% of 47
dftghnijbalanced$100+$69090% of 114
sullivansarah$96-$819% of 43
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

903 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 902 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $1.4K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 990ll9, with $160 on it, $78 lifetime profit over 20 markets (60% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

77% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo