Who's betting on “Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?”?
Politics · $377K volume · Ends September 7, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $377K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
88% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
312 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 312 of them. The largest Yes holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $8.2K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 774 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is DerDon, with $3.8K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,174 markets (55% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $68 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 88%
- Holders
- 201
- Money on it
- $51K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $68
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 62% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4whale | $8.2K | +$75K | 97% of 774 |
| qQWQqbalanced | $6.8K | +$3.7K | 69% of 147 |
| annacallsitbalanced | $4.8K | +$2.6K | 51% of 167 |
| Dutchlandbalanced | $3.7K | +$3.6K | 47% of 210 |
| lava-lavawhale | $3.4K | +$995K | 46% of 1,585 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DerDonwhale | $3.8K | +$97K | 55% of 1,174 |
| 3648393489047 | $2.5K | -$323K | 58% of 638 |
| elocktbalanced | $1.1K | +$15K | 85% of 26 |
| 0xwordjnn | $692 | -$21K | 8% of 896 |
| Parz1vaIwhale | $518 | +$817K | 72% of 1,198 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?"?
312 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 312 of them. The largest Yes holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $8.2K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 774 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is DerDon, with $3.8K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,174 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $377K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.