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Who's betting on “Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $892K volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $892K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

96% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

130 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $787 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
96%
Holders
117
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
97% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
13
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$787+$1.2M57% of 972
0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083$585+$1.1K0% of 1
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale$113+$228K71% of 202
NyetRisknoise$62+$180K38% of 34
MalfoRrbalanced$33+$73687% of 39
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.1K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Wuazz$15-$5654% of 344
KirstenJacobs848$12-$031% of 36
JoshuaMosley650$5-$032% of 41
TYIUKGSDF545grinder$5+$4794% of 67
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

130 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $787 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $892K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo