Who's betting on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?”?
Politics · $897K volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $897K has been traded on it.
69% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
696 wallets hold a position worth $356K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 693 of them.
- Smart money share
- 69% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 504
- Money on it
- $356K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 22% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 192
- Money on it
- $178
- Holders' winrate
- 39%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
- Flavio Bolsonaro$269K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Tarcisio de Frietas$99K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Renan Santos$70K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fernando Haddad$69K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michelle Bolsonaro$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Romeu Zema$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Jair Bolsonaro$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?"?
696 wallets hold a position worth $356K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 693 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $897K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $897K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.