Politics on Polymarket
Who's betting on politics on Polymarket? Page 3
Every big politics market on Polymarket, with the odds and where the historically profitable wallets sit on each. Every holder is scored by their track record.
- Open markets
- 483 big enough to read
- Traded
- $3782M across them
- Smart money leans
- 424 markets with a clear side
- Closed lately
- 134 in the last 30 days
Open markets
483 markets, biggest first · page 3 of 7- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?$3.0M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.9M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$2.8M vol.Yes 72%No 28%Smart money: Yes
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.8M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$2.7M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.7M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.7M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$2.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.6M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.5M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?$2.3M vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Alberta join the US? $2.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?$2.1M vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$2.1M vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: No
- Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.9M vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1.8M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.8M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1.7M vol.Yes 73%No 28%Smart money split
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.7M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.7M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?$1.6M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money split
- Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$1.6M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: No
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?$1.5M vol.Yes 94%No 7%Smart money: No
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Iran Nuke before 2027?$1.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: No
- Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.3M vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: No
- Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Free on Polkyo
Follow the smart money on politics, as it happens.
Smart money flowWhat well-rated wallets just bought and sold, across every market.Whale radarBig and unusual position changes the moment the scanner sees them.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.
How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.