Politics on Polymarket
Who's betting on politics on Polymarket? Page 2
Every big politics market on Polymarket, with the odds and where the historically profitable wallets sit on each. Every holder is scored by their track record.
- Open markets
- 483 big enough to read
- Traded
- $3782M across them
- Smart money leans
- 424 markets with a clear side
- Closed lately
- 134 in the last 30 days
Open markets
483 markets, biggest first · page 2 of 7- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$12M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$11M vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.8M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.7M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$9.4M vol.Yes 67%No 34%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$9.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.9M vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$8.7M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.5M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$7.6M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.2M vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money split
- Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.0M vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.1M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$6.1M vol.Yes 68%No 33%Smart money split
- Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.7M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$5.7M vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran leadership change by December 31?$5.6M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: Other$5.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?$5.1M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.6M vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: No
- Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.5M vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: No
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$4.4M vol.Yes 32%No 69%Smart money: No
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: No
- Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$4.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?$4.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.9M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.8M vol.Yes 82%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$3.6M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.5M vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.2M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.2M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$3.1M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.0M vol.Yes 69%No 32%Smart money: Yes
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