Who's betting on “Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Politics · $252K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $252K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
18% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
321 wallets hold a position worth $106K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 298 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $16K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 25 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Vespuccii, with $12K on it, $7.9K lifetime profit over 242 markets (60% won).
The insider radar has flagged 3 wallets betting $6.3K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 18%
- Holders
- 176
- Money on it
- $41K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 3 · $6.3K
- Smart money share
- 94% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $65K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679 | $16K | -$43K | 44% of 25 |
| 0xea41…ad4a | $3.8K | - | - |
| 0xE8fd8Ba3E1D8016288f35A06d12a8102c50ec810-1759965929930 | $3.6K | -$418 | 33% of 3 |
| Evak8 | $3.3K | -$18 | 67% of 3 |
| 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960whale | $3.2K | +$98K | 64% of 380 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vespucciiwhale | $12K | +$7.9K | 60% of 242 |
| mountaindewdwhale | $8.0K | +$150K | 68% of 631 |
| BiDiFakePollswhale | $5.9K | +$71K | 77% of 303 |
| 0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455noise | $5.6K | +$98K | 42% of 409 |
| qizhan1balanced | $5.2K | +$8.4K | 54% of 72 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
321 wallets hold a position worth $106K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 298 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $16K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 25 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Vespuccii, with $12K on it, $7.9K lifetime profit over 242 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $252K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
18% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
3 wallets on Yes ($6.3K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.