Who's betting on “Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Politics · $99K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
49% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
137 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 135 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268, with $63 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 246 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is 0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455, with $4.3K on it, $98K lifetime profit over 409 markets (42% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 49% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $310
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 98%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $8.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268whale | $63 | +$4.3K | 70% of 246 |
| Motisiy | $42 | +$0 | - |
| flawfencewhale | $34 | +$477K | 75% of 478 |
| SDG770 | $29 | -$1 | 67% of 3 |
| 0x7F0F60d095Fb29c881F84468fAF1b61F7f231733-1782153301351 | $14 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455noise | $4.3K | +$98K | 42% of 409 |
| cashywhale | $3.6K | +$557K | 74% of 1,025 |
| Shadalion | $199 | +$48 | 50% of 12 |
| Camara2867balanced | $103 | +$1.4K | 98% of 64 |
| SF23 | $102 | -$373 | 76% of 66 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
137 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 135 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268, with $63 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 246 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is 0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455, with $4.3K on it, $98K lifetime profit over 409 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.