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Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $54K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

48% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.

65 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is CounselGambit, with $31 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 200 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is wish-, with $994 on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,093 markets (81% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
48% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
54
Money on it
$202
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
88%
Holders
11
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
78%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
CounselGambit$31-$1.4K97% of 200
fiternoise$28+$46K16% of 769
mitdemwind$24-$391-
AJSVwhale$13+$217K41% of 102,752
stavr$12-$64862% of 123
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
wish-whale$994+$74K81% of 1,093
Elias.Thornwellwhale$158+$4.5K69% of 2,940
cigarettes$89-$4.2K46% of 42,466
rafb$62-$43482% of 222
hspje89grinder$8+$4100% of 244
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?"?

65 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is CounselGambit, with $31 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 200 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is wish-, with $994 on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,093 markets (81% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

48% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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