polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $48K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

67% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.

88 wallets hold a position worth $812 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $76 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $149 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
67%
Holders
71
Money on it
$438
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
51%
Holders
17
Money on it
$374
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
50centsnoise$76+$5.6K34% of 378
earthStones$47-$2.2K40% of 78
fiternoise$22+$46K16% of 769
Rvfleusenoise$19+$18432% of 95
Hot-Skullwhale$18+$31K92% of 301
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$149+$4.5K69% of 2,940
cigarettes$88-$4.2K46% of 42,466
rafb$83-$43482% of 222
LesterDiamondnoise$25+$207K40% of 3,634
hspje89grinder$7+$4100% of 244
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Next leader out of power before 2027?

Who's betting on Next leader out of power before 2027? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?"?

88 wallets hold a position worth $812 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $76 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $149 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo