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Who's betting on “Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $47K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.

67 wallets hold a position worth $76 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $13 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $8 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
67%
Holders
59
Money on it
$60
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
63%
Holders
8
Money on it
$17
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
50centsnoise$13+$5.6K34% of 378
ConCaMap88$8-$79541% of 110
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009$7-$25439% of 28
QMG-COREwhale$6+$87K73% of 1,173
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$4+$2.7K59% of 228
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$8+$4.5K69% of 2,940
daniel122134$4-$10K47% of 3,367
0x539b…c64fgrinder$3+$7799% of 506
0x05b2…c70d$1-$2753% of 276
0x78b3…6dda$1-$6756% of 269
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?"?

67 wallets hold a position worth $76 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $13 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $8 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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