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Who's betting on “Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $73K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

33% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

107 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is beavernikkuh, with $96 on it, $9.3K lifetime loss over 17 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $839 on it, $318K lifetime profit over 11,530 markets (22% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share
33% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
84
Money on it
$736
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
92%
Holders
23
Money on it
$2.1K
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
beavernikkuh$96-$9.3K41% of 17
0xDcfE3968345d3420ad63D6410a96C8C3aA31B7d3-1778156552428$80+$12456% of 9
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009$77-$25439% of 28
Thepist$77+$0-
0x90d1f174263A54C5CCc546C021BB85C3be9cf62A-1749603304574$73-$23K18% of 17
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise$839+$318K22% of 11,530
viniiwhale$542+$160K63% of 1,752
lottonakamotobalanced$239+$1.6K67% of 306
Elias.Thornwellwhale$155+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Robbbwhale$79+$80K80% of 420
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?"?

107 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is beavernikkuh, with $96 on it, $9.3K lifetime loss over 17 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $839 on it, $318K lifetime profit over 11,530 markets (22% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

33% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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