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Who's betting on “Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $40K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

57% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago it was split.

70 wallets hold a position worth $563 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gorea, with $21 on it, $546 lifetime loss over 475 markets (5% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $149 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
57% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
Holders
54
Money on it
$136
Holders' winrate
34%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
46%
Holders
16
Money on it
$427
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Gorea$21-$5465% of 475
orifcontexnoise$20+$4.7K17% of 299
mehanizatornoise$15+$6.2K43% of 498
0xDcfE3968345d3420ad63D6410a96C8C3aA31B7d3-1778156552428$11+$12456% of 9
AJSVwhale$9+$218K41% of 102,701
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$149+$4.5K69% of 2,940
0x6c10…df5c$93-$62K66% of 1,056
cigarettes$89-$10K46% of 42,353
GeorgiiRachgrinder$30+$3.5K97% of 284
rafb$27-$43482% of 222
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?"?

70 wallets hold a position worth $563 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gorea, with $21 on it, $546 lifetime loss over 475 markets (5% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $149 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

57% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo