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Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $46K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

42% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

73 wallets hold a position worth $758 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfcab…3376, with $121 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 17 markets (6% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $140 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
42%
Holders
64
Money on it
$392
Holders' winrate
36%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
55%
Holders
9
Money on it
$365
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xfcab…3376$121-$1.6K6% of 17
WILLXX$60-$2.2K55% of 326
planktonXDwhale$31+$131K76% of 5,427
fiternoise$26+$46K16% of 769
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$26+$2.7K59% of 228
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$140+$4.5K69% of 2,940
cigarettes$88-$4.2K46% of 42,466
rafb$71-$43482% of 222
wish-whale$60+$74K81% of 1,093
daniel122134$4-$10K47% of 3,367
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?"?

73 wallets hold a position worth $758 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfcab…3376, with $121 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 17 markets (6% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $140 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

42% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo