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Who's betting on “Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $44K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

91% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 66 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.

73 wallets hold a position worth $421 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ajjooli, with $31 on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 302 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226, with $103 on it, $204 lifetime loss over 215 markets (98% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91%
Holders
61
Money on it
$120
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
25%
Holders
12
Money on it
$300
Holders' winrate
71%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Ajjoolibalanced$31+$5.2K67% of 302
fiternoise$13+$46K16% of 769
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$13+$2.7K59% of 228
QMG-COREwhale$12+$87K73% of 1,173
planktonXDwhale$6+$131K76% of 5,427
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226$103-$20498% of 215
cigarettes$87-$5.6K46% of 42,516
Houle$35+$1.1K100% of 106
gonnakilmyslf$27-$1.8K45% of 2,074
LesterDiamondnoise$25+$207K40% of 3,634
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?"?

73 wallets hold a position worth $421 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ajjooli, with $31 on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 302 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226, with $103 on it, $204 lifetime loss over 215 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

91% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 66 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo