polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $58K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

82% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

115 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is Joaks, with $255 on it, $58 lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $1.1K on it, $51K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (76% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share
82%
Holders
79
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91%
Holders
36
Money on it
$3.1K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Joaks$255+$5875% of 4
buoyswhale$193+$83K46% of 1,183
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$151+$2.7K59% of 228
QMG-COREwhale$122+$87K73% of 1,173
pkzwhale$89+$62K62% of 1,034
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x5b91…2709whale$1.1K+$51K76% of 1,025
lottonakamotobalanced$620+$1.6K67% of 306
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedwhale$268+$154K56% of 13,103
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise$234+$318K22% of 11,530
knradwhale$144+$37K62% of 1,107
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Next leader out of power before 2027?

Who's betting on Next leader out of power before 2027? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?"?

115 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is Joaks, with $255 on it, $58 lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b91…2709, with $1.1K on it, $51K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (76% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

82% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo