polkyo

Who's betting on “Will no listed leader be out before 2027?”?

Politics · $210K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $210K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

82% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

224 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 221 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $7.4K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flawfence, with $5.0K on it, $477K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won).

Yes47%
Smart money share
82%
Holders
121
Money on it
$21K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No54%
Smart money share
84% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
103
Money on it
$8.1K
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
buoyswhale$7.4K+$83K46% of 1,183
anoin123$2.0K-$4.9M60% of 1,429
QMG-COREwhale$1.4K+$87K73% of 1,173
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$1.3K+$2.7K59% of 228
Noname333balanced$1.3K+$14K78% of 219
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
flawfencewhale$5.0K+$477K75% of 478
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935whale$535+$64K57% of 809
lottonakamotobalanced$476+$1.6K67% of 306
Haradwaith$434-$334K51% of 45,794
ConCaMap88$206-$79541% of 110
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Next leader out of power before 2027?

Who's betting on Next leader out of power before 2027? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will no listed leader be out before 2027?"?

224 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 221 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $7.4K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flawfence, with $5.0K on it, $477K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no listed leader be out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $210K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

82% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo