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Who's betting on “Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $41K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

93% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

93 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $467 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is varch01, with $477 on it, $44K lifetime loss over 1,121 markets (69% won).

Yes5%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
93%
Holders
70
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No95%
Smart money share
39%
Holders
23
Money on it
$1.0K
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
buoyswhale$467+$83K46% of 1,183
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$157+$2.7K59% of 228
QMG-COREwhale$137+$87K73% of 1,173
Hot-Skullwhale$104+$31K92% of 301
DeverNoombalanced$86+$6.0K70% of 279
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
varch01$477-$44K69% of 1,121
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise$184+$318K22% of 11,530
lottonakamotobalanced$170+$1.6K67% of 306
cigarettes$85-$10K46% of 42,353
0x8b54…167f$32-$4289% of 18
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?"?

93 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $467 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is varch01, with $477 on it, $44K lifetime loss over 1,121 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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