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Who's betting on “Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?”?

Politics · $38K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

71% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.

64 wallets hold a position worth $78 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $11 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is 0x539b…c64f, with $3 on it, $77 lifetime profit over 506 markets (99% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
71%
Holders
61
Money on it
$75
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
99%
Holders
3
Money on it
$3
Holders' winrate
98%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
50centsnoise$11+$5.6K34% of 378
ConCaMap88$10-$79541% of 110
mehanizatornoise$9+$6.2K43% of 498
0xDcfE3968345d3420ad63D6410a96C8C3aA31B7d3-1778156552428$7+$12456% of 9
0x1ff3…eb39balanced$7+$2.7K59% of 228
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x539b…c64fgrinder$3+$7799% of 506
skyrocks$0-$42644% of 2,640
haveagooddaynoise$0+$26K23% of 18,665
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?"?

64 wallets hold a position worth $78 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50cents, with $11 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 378 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is 0x539b…c64f, with $3 on it, $77 lifetime profit over 506 markets (99% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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