Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- Patriots vs. Bears$4.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved BearsDay before: Bears ✓ Patriots 27% / Bears 63%
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$4.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved SpiritDay before: Spirit ✓ Team Falcons 49% / Spirit 92%
- Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 63% / No 99%
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$3.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved Karmine CorpDay before: Anyone's Legend ✗ Anyone's Legend 70% / Karmine Corp 29%
- Rams vs. Eagles$3.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved RamsDay before: Eagles ✗ Rams 25% / Eagles 76%
- Cowboys vs. Packers$3.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved PackersDay before: Cowboys ✗ Cowboys 46% / Packers 32%
- Lakers vs. Clippers$3.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved LakersDay before: Clippers ✗ Lakers 37% / Clippers 76%
- Hornets vs. Nets$3.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved HornetsDay before: Nets ✗ Hornets 44% / Nets 97%
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$3.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$3.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Invictus GamingNo call on record
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?$3.7M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 76% / No 83%
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$3.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved Karmine CorpDay before: Karmine Corp ✓ Cloud9 27% / Karmine Corp 28%
- Knicks vs. Celtics$3.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved CelticsDay before: Celtics ✓ Knicks 67% / Celtics 79%
- Bulls vs. Bucks$3.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved BullsDay before: Bulls ✓ Bulls 54% / Bucks 44%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?$3.7M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-16Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 93% / No 63%
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs$3.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved BetBoom TeamNo call on record
- Buccaneers vs. Cowboys$3.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved BuccaneersDay before: Buccaneers ✓ Buccaneers 76% / Cowboys 42%
- Cardinals vs. Rams$3.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved CardinalsDay before: Rams ✗ Cardinals 62% / Rams 65%
- Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?$3.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 78% / No 82%
- Cowboys vs. Eagles$3.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved CowboysDay before: Eagles ✗ Cowboys 52% / Eagles 57%
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$3.4M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 50% / No 59%
- Patriots vs. Bills$3.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved PatriotsDay before: Bills ✗ Patriots 56% / Bills 84%
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$3.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Gen.GNo call on record
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?$3.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 53% / No 86%
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$3.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved Hanwha Life EsportsDay before: Top Esports ✗ Hanwha Life Esports 38% / Top Esports 83%
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$3.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved BNK FEARXDay before: JD Gaming ✗ BNK FEARX 44% / JD Gaming 84%
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 64% / No 49%
- Heat vs. Hornets$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved HornetsDay before: Heat ✗ Heat 64% / Hornets 54%
- Wizards vs. Bulls$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved WizardsDay before: Bulls ✗ Wizards 71% / Bulls 91%
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved TimberwolvesDay before: Raptors ✗ Raptors 90% / Timberwolves 33%
- Washington vs. USC$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved USCDay before: USC ✓ Washington 0% / USC 95%
- LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$3.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Team WEDay before: HANJIN BRION ✗ Team WE 36% / HANJIN BRION 70%
- Thunder vs. Mavericks$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved MavericksDay before: Thunder ✗ Thunder 57% / Mavericks 49%
- Cardinals vs. Giants$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved GiantsDay before: Cardinals ✗ Cardinals 90% / Giants 42%
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 14% / No 87%
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 38% / No 99%
- Nets vs. Celtics$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved CelticsDay before: Nets ✗ Nets 90% / Celtics 71%
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?$3.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 22% / No 39%
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved WarriorsDay before: Timberwolves ✗ Warriors 35% / Timberwolves 78%
- LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LOSNo call on record
- LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LOSNo call on record
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved LYONNo call on record
- Wizards vs. Hornets$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved HornetsDay before: Hornets ✓ Wizards 34% / Hornets 48%
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner$3.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Dplus KIANo call on record
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$3.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Movistar KOINo call on record
- Rockets vs. Spurs$3.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved RocketsDay before: Rockets ✓ Rockets 75% / Spurs 61%
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?$3.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 57% / No 25%
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?$3.0M vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 14% / No 94%
- Pistons vs. Knicks$3.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved KnicksDay before: Knicks ✓ Pistons 46% / Knicks 75%
- Jaguars vs. Bengals$3.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved JaguarsDay before: Jaguars ✓ Jaguars 73% / Bengals 20%
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$2.9M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 55% / No 69%
- Bucks vs. Wizards$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved WizardsDay before: Wizards ✓ Bucks 30% / Wizards 48%
- China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Novak DjokovicNo call on record
- LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved CTBC Flying OysterDay before: Team Liquid ✗ Team Liquid 64% / CTBC Flying Oyster 40%
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved GrizzliesDay before: Grizzlies ✓ Grizzlies 88% / Warriors 78%
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Milwaukee BrewersNo call on record
- Pacers vs. Bucks$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved BucksDay before: Pacers ✗ Pacers 42% / Bucks 27%
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 56% / No 74%
- Panthers vs. Eagles$2.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved PanthersDay before: Eagles ✗ Panthers 40% / Eagles 48%
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Atlanta BravesNo call on record
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 44% / No 97%
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Bilibili GamingDay before: Bilibili Gaming ✓ Karmine Corp 6% / Bilibili Gaming 86%
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved MOUZDay before: FURIA ✗ FURIA 91% / MOUZ 9%
- Steelers vs. Buccaneers$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved SteelersDay before: Steelers ✓ Steelers 30% / Buccaneers 4%
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 95% / No 28%
- Celtics vs. Pistons$2.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved PistonsDay before: Celtics ✗ Celtics 89% / Pistons 54%
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 65% / No 40%
- Lakers vs. Jazz$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LakersDay before: Lakers ✓ Lakers 43% / Jazz 36%
- Heat vs. Hawks$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved HeatDay before: Hawks ✗ Heat 11% / Hawks 83%
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.7M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 60% / No 52%
- Bills vs. Raiders$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved BillsDay before: Raiders ✗ Bills 42% / Raiders 46%
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$2.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$2.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved KT RolsterDay before: Team Vitality ✗ KT Rolster 66% / Team Vitality 75%
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$2.6M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 53% / No 85%
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$2.6M vol. · geopolitics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 99% / No 37%
- LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$2.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved T1Day before: T1 ✓ T1 33% / CTBC Flying Oyster 23%
- Vikings vs. Saints$2.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved VikingsDay before: Saints ✗ Vikings 53% / Saints 68%
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs$2.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved FURIANo call on record
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?$2.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 37% / No 74%
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Golden State ValkyriesNo call on record
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 16% / No 98%
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Top EsportsNo call on record
- Packers vs. Lions$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LionsDay before: Packers ✗ Packers 72% / Lions 56%
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved HANJIN BRIONDay before: LGD Gaming ✗ HANJIN BRION 29% / LGD Gaming 86%
- Notre Dame vs. BYU$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved BYUDay before: Notre Dame ✗ Notre Dame 43% / BYU 17%
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 50% / No 5%
- Browns vs. Jets$2.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved JetsDay before: Browns ✗ Browns 66% / Jets 46%
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.4M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 93% / No 79%
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$2.4M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 55% / No 63%
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 33% / No 62%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved Alexander ZverevNo call on record
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved T1No call on record
- Pelicans vs. Jazz$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved JazzDay before: Jazz ✓ Pelicans 42% / Jazz 52%
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$2.4M vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 61% / No 91%
- LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved Team WEDay before: Team WE ✓ Team WE 72% / FlyQuest 45%
- Saints vs. Giants$2.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved SaintsDay before: Saints ✓ Saints 98% / Giants 19%
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.