
Who's betting on “Thunder vs. Mavericks”?
Smart money leans Mavericks: 64% of the money on it is held by wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Holders
- 427
- Money on it
- $317K
- Volume
- $470K
- Ends
- Oct 29
What the money says
Polymarket prices Thunder at 66¢ and Mavericks at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Thunder. $470K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
35% of the money on Thunder and 64% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 29 points.
427 wallets hold a position worth $317K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 418 of them. The largest Thunder holder is nigiri99, with $47K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,063 markets (46% won). The largest Mavericks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $50K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $27 on Thunder.
- Smart money share
- 35%
- Holders
- 260
- Money on it
- $208K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $27
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 167
- Money on it
- $109K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime records| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1nigiri99 | $47K | -$1.1M | 46% of 16,063 |
| 2Zzzz87 | $28K | -$1.6M | 45% of 2,030 |
| 3mooseborzoii | $23K | -$605K | 72% of 2,112 |
| 4Herdoniawhale | $13K | +$5.5K | 61% of 2,894 |
| 5imjustkenisgheywhale | $9.9K | +$87K | 54% of 1,138 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1monkeymashingkeyboardwhale | $50K | +$848K | 91% of 678 |
| 2jakepaulthegoat2008 | $34K | -$1.3M | 53% of 582 |
| 3BreakTheBankwhale | $13K | +$12M | 88% of 662 |
| 40x80005fae4B4f56b16eC5d245e396A8af8DD73a21-1765459353968 | $1.7K | -$10K | 43% of 223 |
| 5VeryLucky888whale | $1.0K | +$408K | 60% of 59,968 |
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Mavericks
- O/U 230.5$111K vol.Over 45%Under 56%Smart money: Under
- O/U 228.5$75K vol.Over 49%Under 52%Smart money: Under
- O/U 226.5$33K vol.Over 55%Under 46%Smart money: Over
- O/U 232.5$32K vol.Over 42%Under 58%Smart money: Under
- O/U 224.5$19K vol.Over 58%Under 42%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$18K vol.Thunder 46%Mavericks 54%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -7.5$15K vol.Thunder 43%Mavericks 57%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -5.5$6.6K vol.Thunder 51%Mavericks 50%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -14.5$5.1K vol.Thunder 26%Mavericks 74%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -12.5$4.8K vol.Thunder 29%Mavericks 71%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -8.5$4.0K vol.Thunder 40%Mavericks 60%Smart money: Mavericks
- Spread -1.5$3.9K vol.Thunder 64%Mavericks 36%Smart money split
- Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5$3.9K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: No
- Spread -3.5$3.6K vol.Thunder 57%Mavericks 43%Smart money: Mavericks
- Spread -3.5$3.1K vol.Mavericks 26%Thunder 74%Smart money: Thunder
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Questions
Who is betting on "Thunder vs. Mavericks"?
427 wallets hold a position worth $317K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 418 of them. The largest Thunder holder is nigiri99, with $47K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,063 markets (46% won). The largest Mavericks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $50K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Thunder vs. Mavericks"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 66¢ and Mavericks at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Thunder. $470K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Thunder and 64% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.