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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-6.5)”?

Sports$19K traded72 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
46%Thunder🧠 smart money
55%Mavericks

Smart money leans Thunder: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$19K
traded all time
Held now
$12K
by 72 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
83%
35 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
77%
37 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 46¢ and Mavericks at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Mavericks. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

83% of the money on Thunder and 77% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 6 points.

Who holds it

72 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Thunder holder is SunlineTicker, with $2.5K on it, $335K lifetime profit over 1,444 markets (71% won). The largest Mavericks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $2.1K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).

Thunder46%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share83%
Holders
35
Money on it
$5.2K
Holders' win rate
64%
Mavericks55%
Smart money share77%
Holders
37
Money on it
$6.3K
Holders' win rate
77%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$5.2K on it

  1. 1SunlineTicker71% won of 1,444 · whale$2.5K+$335K lifetime
  2. 2takeormake65% won of 5,225 · whale$1.2K+$1.1M lifetime
  3. 3strawberrycreek21% won of 42$448−$27K lifetime
  4. 4Flaznorp52% won of 138,281 · whale$212+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5NM-P63% won of 10,567 · whale$130+$12K lifetime

Mavericks$6.3K on it

  1. 1monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 678 · whale$2.1K+$848K lifetime
  2. 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$830+$2.8M lifetime
  3. 3QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF91% won of 353 · balanced$741+$13K lifetime
  4. 4ciburri62% won of 210$592−$7.3K lifetime
  5. 5pmHFT74% won of 223 · balanced$545+$2.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-6.5)"?

72 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Thunder holder is SunlineTicker, with $2.5K on it, $335K lifetime profit over 1,444 markets (71% won). The largest Mavericks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $2.1K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-6.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 46¢ and Mavericks at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Mavericks. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

83% of the money on Thunder and 77% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 6 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.