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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-5.5)”?

Sports$15K traded55 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
50%Thunder
51%Mavericks🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Mavericks: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$13K
by 55 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
67%
36 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
75%
19 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 50¢ and Mavericks at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Mavericks. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

67% of the money on Thunder and 75% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 7 points.

Who holds it

55 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.4K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Mavericks holder is 0xA0b86991c6218b36c1d19D4a29Eb0cE3606eB4, with $4.4K on it, $677K lifetime profit over 453 markets (49% won).

Thunder50%
Smart money share67%
Holders
36
Money on it
$6.5K
Holders' win rate
56%
Mavericks51%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share75%
Holders
19
Money on it
$6.7K
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$6.5K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$2.4K+$2.8M lifetime
  2. 2Zelquracapital33% won of 212$990−$22K lifetime
  3. 3Herdonia61% won of 2,894 · whale$897+$5.5K lifetime
  4. 4GC-P63% won of 10,328 · whale$264+$123K lifetime
  5. 5NM-P63% won of 10,567 · whale$262+$12K lifetime

Mavericks$6.7K on it

  1. 10xA0b86991c6218b36c1d19D4a29Eb0cE3606eB449% won of 453 · whale$4.4K+$677K lifetime
  2. 2ComingBack97% won of 605$1.4K−$672K lifetime
  3. 3flaviocaballero2233100% won of 14$495+$232 lifetime
  4. 4SmmlZZZZQ40% won of 335$223−$3.2K lifetime
  5. 5antec59% won of 48,769 · whale$51+$130K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-5.5)"?

55 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.4K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Mavericks holder is 0xA0b86991c6218b36c1d19D4a29Eb0cE3606eB4, with $4.4K on it, $677K lifetime profit over 453 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-5.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 50¢ and Mavericks at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Mavericks. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Thunder and 75% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.