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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-7.5)”?

Sports$15K traded29 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
43%Thunder🧠 smart money
57%Mavericks

Smart money leans Thunder: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$14K
by 29 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
94%
20 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
44%
9 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 43¢ and Mavericks at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Mavericks. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

94% of the money on Thunder and 44% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 50 points.

Who holds it

29 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.4K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Mavericks holder is 0x086510aa1c43d6E6eae6e49190a53Abb75063dff-1761789287903, with $4.3K on it, $8.8K lifetime loss over 47 markets (64% won).

Thunder43%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share94%
Holders
20
Money on it
$5.9K
Holders' win rate
59%
Mavericks57%
Smart money share44%
Holders
9
Money on it
$7.9K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$5.9K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$2.4K+$2.8M lifetime
  2. 2takeormake65% won of 5,225 · whale$981+$1.1M lifetime
  3. 3Flaznorp52% won of 138,281 · whale$883+$1.2M lifetime
  4. 4No-8975769% won of 411 · whale$694+$19K lifetime
  5. 5ferdinand247% won of 18,349$316−$33K lifetime

Mavericks$7.9K on it

  1. 10x086510aa1c43d6E6eae6e49190a53Abb75063dff-176178928790364% won of 47$4.3K−$8.8K lifetime
  2. 2SunlineTicker71% won of 1,444 · whale$3.4K+$335K lifetime
  3. 3CAcap86% won of 6,986$103−$77K lifetime
  4. 4antec59% won of 48,769 · whale$72+$130K lifetime
  5. 5Telekinesis8868% won of 304$29−$18K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-7.5)"?

29 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.4K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Mavericks holder is 0x086510aa1c43d6E6eae6e49190a53Abb75063dff-1761789287903, with $4.3K on it, $8.8K lifetime loss over 47 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-7.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 43¢ and Mavericks at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Mavericks. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

94% of the money on Thunder and 44% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 50 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.