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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-8.5)”?

Sports$4.7K traded21 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
40%Thunder
61%Mavericks🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Mavericks: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$4.7K
traded all time
Held now
$4.7K
by 21 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
73%
7 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
89%
14 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 40¢ and Mavericks at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of Mavericks. $4.7K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

73% of the money on Thunder and 89% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 17 points.

Who holds it

21 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Thunder holder is takeormake, with $1.2K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 5,225 markets (65% won). The largest Mavericks holder is HomeRunHazard, with $1.9K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won).

Thunder40%
Smart money share73%
Holders
7
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
55%
Mavericks61%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89%
Holders
14
Money on it
$2.9K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$1.9K on it

  1. 1takeormake65% won of 5,225 · whale$1.2K+$1.1M lifetime
  2. 2Albedo0033% won of 587$507−$277K lifetime
  3. 33879187398418945% won of 85,788 · whale$97+$196K lifetime
  4. 4BullishBarb65% won of 1,752 · whale$38+$89K lifetime
  5. 5Pan9X60% won of 30,514 · whale$10+$19K lifetime

Mavericks$2.9K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$1.9K+$2.8M lifetime
  2. 2VeryLucky88860% won of 60,157 · whale$597+$406K lifetime
  3. 3nigiri9946% won of 16,074$120−$1.1M lifetime
  4. 4CAcap86% won of 6,986$119−$77K lifetime
  5. 5antec59% won of 48,769 · whale$61+$130K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-8.5)"?

21 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Thunder holder is takeormake, with $1.2K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 5,225 markets (65% won). The largest Mavericks holder is HomeRunHazard, with $1.9K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-8.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 40¢ and Mavericks at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of Mavericks. $4.7K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Thunder and 89% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 17 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.