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Who's betting on “Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5”?

Sports$75K traded101 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
49%Over
52%Under🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Under: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$75K
traded all time
Held now
$68K
by 101 wallets
Smart share · Over
65%
69 scored holders
Smart share · Under
75%
32 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Over at 49¢ and Under at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of Under. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

65% of the money on Over and 75% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 10 points.

Who holds it

101 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Over holder is HomeRunHazard, with $11K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Under holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $26K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).

Over49%
Smart money share65%
Holders
69
Money on it
$33K
Holders' win rate
63%
Under52%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share75%
Holders
32
Money on it
$35K
Holders' win rate
87%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Over$33K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$11K+$2.8M lifetime
  2. 2takeormake65% won of 5,225 · whale$6.4K+$1.1M lifetime
  3. 322QAQ45% won of 676$5.2K−$32K lifetime
  4. 4ComingBack97% won of 605$4.7K−$672K lifetime
  5. 5Herdonia61% won of 2,894 · whale$1.0K+$5.5K lifetime

Under$35K on it

  1. 1monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 678 · whale$26K+$848K lifetime
  2. 2ppku629875% won of 99$4.1K−$49K lifetime
  3. 3hang80876% won of 222$2.1K−$67K lifetime
  4. 4clownfishbets79% won of 473$1.5K−$305 lifetime
  5. 50xFAdC44c5E3fb26151728EE7166E0AfA7a88Fb06b-178792978516381% won of 31$231−$1.7K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5"?

101 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Over holder is HomeRunHazard, with $11K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 21,065 markets (56% won). The largest Under holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $26K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5"?

Polymarket prices Over at 49¢ and Under at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of Under. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Over and 75% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.