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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-12.5)”?

Sports$4.8K traded8 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
28%Thunder🧠 smart money
72%Mavericks

Smart money leans Thunder: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 99 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$4.8K
traded all time
Held now
$4.8K
by 8 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
99%
6 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
0%
2 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 28¢ and Mavericks at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Mavericks. $4.8K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

99% of the money on Thunder and 0% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 99 points.

Who holds it

8 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 8 of them. The largest Thunder holder is takeormake, with $1.2K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 5,225 markets (65% won). The largest Mavericks holder is nigiri99, with $3.4K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,074 markets (46% won).

Thunder28%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share99%
Holders
6
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
63%
Mavericks72%
Smart money share0%
Holders
2
Money on it
$3.4K
Holders' win rate
46%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$1.4K on it

  1. 1takeormake65% won of 5,225 · whale$1.2K+$1.1M lifetime
  2. 23879187398418945% won of 85,788 · whale$142+$196K lifetime
  3. 3Chenweiwen65% won of 17$13+$31 lifetime
  4. 4strawberrycreek21% won of 42$8−$27K lifetime
  5. 5Pan9X60% won of 30,514 · whale$8+$19K lifetime

Mavericks$3.4K on it

  1. 1nigiri9946% won of 16,074$3.4K−$1.1M lifetime
  2. 20x2cEf853d46A09889e9dc72AA7C44B1A1ABd1ce18-177796180038375% won of 340$4−$447 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-12.5)"?

8 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 8 of them. The largest Thunder holder is takeormake, with $1.2K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 5,225 markets (65% won). The largest Mavericks holder is nigiri99, with $3.4K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,074 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-12.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 28¢ and Mavericks at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Mavericks. $4.8K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

99% of the money on Thunder and 0% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 99 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.