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Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-3.5)”?

Sports$3.6K traded18 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
57%Thunder
43%Mavericks🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Mavericks: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$3.6K
traded all time
Held now
$3.0K
by 18 wallets
Smart share · Thunder
66%
10 scored holders
Smart share · Mavericks
98%
8 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Thunder at 57¢ and Mavericks at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Thunder. $3.6K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

66% of the money on Thunder and 98% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 32 points.

Who holds it

18 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 18 of them. The largest Thunder holder is 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989, with $558 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 1,637 markets (86% won). The largest Mavericks holder is SunlineTicker, with $1.2K on it, $335K lifetime profit over 1,444 markets (71% won).

Thunder57%
Smart money share66%
Holders
10
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
67%
Mavericks43%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98%
Holders
8
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
71%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Thunder$1.7K on it

  1. 10x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-176979622198986% won of 1,637$558−$26K lifetime
  2. 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,065 · whale$290+$2.8M lifetime
  3. 3VeryLucky88860% won of 60,157 · whale$266+$406K lifetime
  4. 4GC-P63% won of 10,328 · whale$201+$123K lifetime
  5. 5NM-P63% won of 10,567 · whale$201+$12K lifetime

Mavericks$1.3K on it

  1. 1SunlineTicker71% won of 1,444 · whale$1.2K+$335K lifetime
  2. 2ferdinand247% won of 18,349$9−$33K lifetime
  3. 3Flaznorp52% won of 138,281 · whale$9+$1.2M lifetime
  4. 4nigiri9946% won of 16,074$9−$1.1M lifetime
  5. 5LeLynxMalynx59% won of 26,439 · whale$8+$40K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-3.5)"?

18 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 18 of them. The largest Thunder holder is 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989, with $558 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 1,637 markets (86% won). The largest Mavericks holder is SunlineTicker, with $1.2K on it, $335K lifetime profit over 1,444 markets (71% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-3.5)"?

Polymarket prices Thunder at 57¢ and Mavericks at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Thunder. $3.6K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

66% of the money on Thunder and 98% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 32 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.