Who's betting on “Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?”?
Sports · $1.1M volume · Ends October 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
26% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
376 wallets hold a position worth $255K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 374 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $74K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,405 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is purplegatto, with $18K on it, $2.0M lifetime loss over 3,022 markets (73% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.4K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 26% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 236
- Money on it
- $161K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.4K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 45% ▼ 16 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 140
- Money on it
- $94K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa0f2…1848 | $74K | -$3.5M | 43% of 2,405 |
| crackcrack | $14K | -$33K | 73% of 11 |
| TangledUpInBluewhale | $9.6K | +$18K | 52% of 397 |
| DavidShekelwhale | $6.5K | +$183K | 62% of 276 |
| drew.eth | $5.6K | -$20K | 42% of 100 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| purplegatto | $18K | -$2.0M | 73% of 3,022 |
| omoi0i0 | $14K | -$980 | 81% of 532 |
| su281whale | $11K | +$39K | 60% of 1,144 |
| cigarettes | $10K | -$10K | 46% of 42,259 |
| Nooseracwhale | $8.6K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,833 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in MLB World Series Champion 2026
- Milwaukee Brewers$2.2M vol.Yes 72%No 28%Smart money: No
- Chicago White Sox$3.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Boston Red Sox$2.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$1.9M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Cleveland Guardians$1.9M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Houston Astros$1.8M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- San Diego Padres$1.8M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Atlanta Braves$1.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Philadelphia Phillies$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Chicago Cubs$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Los Angeles Dodgers$1.3M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Texas Rangers$1.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?$875K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$709K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- New York Yankees$681K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Arizona Diamondbacks$635K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?$7.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.2M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?"?
376 wallets hold a position worth $255K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 374 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa0f2…1848, with $74K on it, $3.5M lifetime loss over 2,405 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is purplegatto, with $18K on it, $2.0M lifetime loss over 3,022 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.