Who's betting on “Heat vs. Hornets”?

Sports · $3.2M volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Heat at 0¢ and Hornets at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Hornets. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.

70% of the money on Heat and 60% of the money on Hornets is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 9 points.

1,176 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,159 of them. The largest Heat holder is BreakTheBank, with $136 on it, $9.6M lifetime profit over 612 markets (87% won). The largest Hornets holder is Eugycom, with $300K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).

3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $26 on Heat; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $981 on Hornets; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $124K on Hornets.

Heat0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
70% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
Holders
761
Money on it
$780
Holders' winrate
70%
Snipers
3 · $26
Insider flags
0
Hornets100%
Smart money share
60% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
Holders
415
Money on it
$1.6M
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
1 · $981
Insider flags
1 · $124K

The biggest holders on each side

Heat
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BreakTheBankwhale$136+$9.6M87% of 612
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale$79+$4.1M44% of 5,560
juice-fruitwhale$62+$622K95% of 42
nigiri99$41-$1.5M47% of 13,858
mooseborzoiiwhale$29+$1.7M72% of 1,766
Hornets
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Eugycom$300K+$22K100% of 1
Woaifacaiwhale$232K+$430K63% of 345
YYYYY999$160K-$2.2M45% of 491
YEEES-but-why$123K-$674K42% of 174
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$101K-$3.8M47% of 68,746
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Heat vs. Hornets"?

1,176 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,159 of them. The largest Heat holder is BreakTheBank, with $136 on it, $9.6M lifetime profit over 612 markets (87% won). The largest Hornets holder is Eugycom, with $300K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Heat vs. Hornets"?

Polymarket prices Heat at 0¢ and Hornets at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Hornets. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Heat and 60% of the money on Hornets is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Is there insider betting on this market?

1 wallet on Hornets ($124K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.