
Who's betting on “Heat vs. Hornets”?
Sports · $3.2M volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Heat at 0¢ and Hornets at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Hornets. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
70% of the money on Heat and 60% of the money on Hornets is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 9 points.
1,176 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,159 of them. The largest Heat holder is BreakTheBank, with $136 on it, $9.6M lifetime profit over 612 markets (87% won). The largest Hornets holder is Eugycom, with $300K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $26 on Heat; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $981 on Hornets; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $124K on Hornets.
- Smart money share
- 70% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 761
- Money on it
- $780
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 3 · $26
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 60% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 415
- Money on it
- $1.6M
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $981
- Insider flags
- 1 · $124K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBankwhale | $136 | +$9.6M | 87% of 612 |
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $79 | +$4.1M | 44% of 5,560 |
| juice-fruitwhale | $62 | +$622K | 95% of 42 |
| nigiri99 | $41 | -$1.5M | 47% of 13,858 |
| mooseborzoiiwhale | $29 | +$1.7M | 72% of 1,766 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eugycom | $300K | +$22K | 100% of 1 |
| Woaifacaiwhale | $232K | +$430K | 63% of 345 |
| YYYYY999 | $160K | -$2.2M | 45% of 491 |
| YEEES-but-why | $123K | -$674K | 42% of 174 |
| 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396 | $101K | -$3.8M | 47% of 68,746 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Heat vs. Hornets
- Spread -3.5$176K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Hornets
- Spread -2.5$173K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -4.5$140K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Hornets
- O/U 230.5$106K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- Spread -1.5$88K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 228.5$55K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- Spread -12.5$53K vol.Hornets 0%Heat 100%Smart money split
- O/U 234.5$43K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- O/U 232.5$38K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Over
- Spread -1.5$36K vol.Hornets 100%Heat 0%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -2.5$36K vol.Hornets 100%Heat 0%Smart money: Hornets
- O/U 236.5$35K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Over
- Spread -5.5$34K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Hornets
- Spread -6.5$34K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Hornets
- Spread -7.5$33K vol.Heat 0%Hornets 100%Smart money: Hornets
- O/U 224.5$28K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Smart money: Over
- O/U 226.5$23K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- Spread -6.5$21K vol.Hornets 0%Heat 100%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -16.5$20K vol.Hornets 0%Heat 100%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -8.5$17K vol.Hornets 0%Heat 100%Smart money: Hornets
- Spread -4.5$16K vol.Hornets 100%Heat 0%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 238.5$15K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- Spread -10.5$14K vol.Hornets 0%Heat 100%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 250.5$13K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Heat vs. Hornets"?
1,176 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,159 of them. The largest Heat holder is BreakTheBank, with $136 on it, $9.6M lifetime profit over 612 markets (87% won). The largest Hornets holder is Eugycom, with $300K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Heat vs. Hornets"?
Polymarket prices Heat at 0¢ and Hornets at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Hornets. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Heat and 60% of the money on Hornets is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Hornets ($124K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.