
Who's betting on “Heat vs. Hawks”?
Smart money leans Heat: 71% of the money on it is held by wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Holders
- 454
- Money on it
- $428K
- Volume
- $483K
- Ends
- Oct 28
What the money says
Polymarket prices Heat at 45¢ and Hawks at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Hawks. $483K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
71% of the money on Heat and 51% of the money on Hawks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 19 points.
454 wallets hold a position worth $428K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 445 of them. The largest Heat holder is nigiri99, with $27K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,063 markets (46% won). The largest Hawks holder is Eugycom, with $116K on it, $219K lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 305
- Money on it
- $190K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 51%
- Holders
- 149
- Money on it
- $237K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime records| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1nigiri99 | $27K | -$1.1M | 46% of 16,063 |
| 2monkeymashingkeyboardwhale | $20K | +$848K | 91% of 678 |
| 3HomeRunHazardwhale | $16K | +$2.8M | 56% of 21,063 |
| 4Herdoniawhale | $15K | +$5.5K | 61% of 2,894 |
| 50x50bec18C474d9A1D18B3bE72332441302375371B-1761434422891whale | $11K | +$42K | 60% of 147 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eugycom | $116K | +$219K | 100% of 8 |
| 2jakepaulthegoat2008 | $89K | -$1.3M | 53% of 582 |
| 332555 | $16K | -$25K | 79% of 108 |
| 40x6408…63fa | $3.4K | -$6.6K | 66% of 50 |
| 50x80005fae4B4f56b16eC5d245e396A8af8DD73a21-1765459353968 | $2.8K | -$10K | 43% of 223 |
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Heat vs. Hawks
- Spread -3.5$127K vol.Hawks 46%Heat 55%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -2.5$92K vol.Hawks 48%Heat 53%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 240.5$31K vol.Over 54%Under 47%Smart money split
- Spread -1.5$16K vol.Hawks 52%Heat 48%Smart money: Hawks
- O/U 238.5$4.5K vol.Over 58%Under 42%Smart money: Under
- Spread -4.5$3.0K vol.Hawks 41%Heat 59%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Heat vs. Hawks"?
454 wallets hold a position worth $428K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 445 of them. The largest Heat holder is nigiri99, with $27K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 16,063 markets (46% won). The largest Hawks holder is Eugycom, with $116K on it, $219K lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Heat vs. Hawks"?
Polymarket prices Heat at 45¢ and Hawks at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Hawks. $483K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Heat and 51% of the money on Hawks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.