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Who's betting on “Spread: Hawks (-4.5)”?

Sports$4.3K traded43 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
42%Hawks
59%Heat🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Heat: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$4.3K
traded all time
Held now
$2.6K
by 43 wallets
Smart share · Hawks
40%
26 scored holders
Smart share · Heat
61%
17 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Hawks at 42¢ and Heat at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Heat. $4.3K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

40% of the money on Hawks and 61% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 21 points.

Who holds it

43 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Hawks holder is weizhengwei, with $218 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 224 markets (62% won). The largest Heat holder is mooseborzoi, with $462 on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,545 markets (41% won).

Hawks42%
Smart money share40%
Holders
26
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
65%
Heat59%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share61%
Holders
17
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Hawks$1.1K on it

  1. 1weizhengwei62% won of 224$218−$5.4K lifetime
  2. 2youbao66% won of 267$173−$14K lifetime
  3. 3qq414366268100% won of 7$164−$1.9K lifetime
  4. 4HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,070 · whale$101+$2.9M lifetime
  5. 5overtimemarkets.xyz-singles1% won of 191,894 · noise$83+$28K lifetime

Heat$1.6K on it

  1. 1mooseborzoi41% won of 8,545$462−$11M lifetime
  2. 2woshikd9981% won of 43 · balanced$365+$9.5K lifetime
  3. 3RN160% won of 35,785 · whale$197+$13M lifetime
  4. 4clawnba50% won of 212 · balanced$146+$5.9K lifetime
  5. 53879187398418945% won of 85,788 · whale$118+$196K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Hawks (-4.5)"?

43 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Hawks holder is weizhengwei, with $218 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 224 markets (62% won). The largest Heat holder is mooseborzoi, with $462 on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,545 markets (41% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hawks (-4.5)"?

Polymarket prices Hawks at 42¢ and Heat at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Heat. $4.3K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

40% of the money on Hawks and 61% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.