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Who's betting on “Spread: Hawks (-2.5)”?

Sports$92K traded133 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
49%Hawks
52%Heat🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Heat: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$92K
traded all time
Held now
$69K
by 133 wallets
Smart share · Hawks
80%
77 scored holders
Smart share · Heat
89%
54 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Hawks at 49¢ and Heat at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of Heat. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

80% of the money on Hawks and 89% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 9 points.

Who holds it

133 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Hawks holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $17K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Heat holder is ArielFilipino, with $18K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 113 markets (91% won).

Sharp money

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $20K on Heat.

Hawks49%
Smart money share80%
Holders
79
Money on it
$33K
Holders' win rate
79%
Heat52%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89%
Holders
54
Money on it
$36K
Holders' win rate
88%
Snipers
2 · $20K

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Hawks$33K on it

  1. 10xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-177925833018685% won of 623 · whale$17K+$285K lifetime
  2. 20xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-178241580254293% won of 2,156$4.8K−$178K lifetime
  3. 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,070 · whale$3.3K+$2.9M lifetime
  4. 4SunlineTicker71% won of 1,444 · whale$2.5K+$335K lifetime
  5. 5misterblobby67% won of 3$882+$2.7K lifetime

Heat$36K on it

  1. 1ArielFilipino91% won of 113 · sniper$18K+$559K lifetime
  2. 2monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 678 · whale$11K+$848K lifetime
  3. 3rrrr11223378% won of 60 · sniper$2.3K+$11K lifetime
  4. 4mhhsw96694% won of 196$2.1K−$88K lifetime
  5. 5sha1234588% won of 822$694−$14K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Hawks (-2.5)"?

133 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Hawks holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $17K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Heat holder is ArielFilipino, with $18K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 113 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hawks (-2.5)"?

Polymarket prices Hawks at 49¢ and Heat at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of Heat. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

80% of the money on Hawks and 89% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.