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Who's betting on “Spread: Hawks (-3.5)”?

Sports$128K traded162 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
45%Hawks
55%Heat🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Heat: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$128K
traded all time
Held now
$77K
by 162 wallets
Smart share · Hawks
77%
67 scored holders
Smart share · Heat
84%
95 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Hawks at 45¢ and Heat at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Heat. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

77% of the money on Hawks and 84% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 7 points.

Who holds it

162 wallets hold a position worth $77K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Hawks holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $13K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Heat holder is ArielFilipino, with $29K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 113 markets (91% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $29K on Heat.

Hawks45%
Smart money share77%
Holders
67
Money on it
$35K
Holders' win rate
78%
Heat55%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share84%
Holders
95
Money on it
$42K
Holders' win rate
85%
Snipers
1 · $29K

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Hawks$35K on it

  1. 10xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-177925833018685% won of 623 · whale$13K+$285K lifetime
  2. 2forecastication491% won of 2,178 · whale$6.8K+$113K lifetime
  3. 30xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-178241580254293% won of 2,156$2.7K−$178K lifetime
  4. 4TheOneto334% won of 224$2.1K−$39K lifetime
  5. 5nigiri9946% won of 16,074$2.1K−$1.1M lifetime

Heat$42K on it

  1. 1ArielFilipino91% won of 113 · sniper$29K+$559K lifetime
  2. 2ff336466% won of 335$1.4K−$159K lifetime
  3. 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,070 · whale$1.4K+$2.9M lifetime
  4. 4ruben89988950% won of 293$1.2K−$1.6K lifetime
  5. 50x443BCCe588E26763987e9Ae44b6b7845F09Fe8bB-176953638043985% won of 241 · whale$1.2K+$18K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Hawks (-3.5)"?

162 wallets hold a position worth $77K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Hawks holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $13K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Heat holder is ArielFilipino, with $29K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 113 markets (91% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hawks (-3.5)"?

Polymarket prices Hawks at 45¢ and Heat at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Heat. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

77% of the money on Hawks and 84% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Heat, by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.