
Who's betting on “Spread: Hawks (-1.5)”?
Smart money leans Hawks: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 90 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Hawks
- 92% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · Heat
- 2% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Hawks at 53¢ and Heat at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Hawks. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Hawks and 2% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hawks, by 90 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Hawks holder is HomeRunHazard, with $4.0K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,070 markets (56% won). The largest Heat holder is ComingBack, with $4.6K on it, $672K lifetime loss over 605 markets (97% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsHawks$7.2K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,070 · whale$4.0K+$2.9M lifetime
- 2SunlineTicker71% won of 1,444 · whale$1.7K+$335K lifetime
- 3BullishBarb65% won of 1,752 · whale$573+$89K lifetime
- 4nigiri9946% won of 16,074$307−$1.1M lifetime
- 5Herdonia61% won of 2,894 · whale$127+$5.5K lifetime
Heat$6.6K on it
- 1ComingBack97% won of 605$4.6K−$672K lifetime
- 2weizhengwei62% won of 224$752−$5.4K lifetime
- 3Llkvf100% won of 17$744−$2.5K lifetime
- 4mooseborzoi41% won of 8,545$311−$11M lifetime
- 5NM-P63% won of 10,567 · whale$72+$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Heat vs. Hawks
6 more- Heat vs. Hawks$490K vol.Heat 45%Hawks 56%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -3.5$128K vol.Hawks 45%Heat 55%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -2.5$92K vol.Hawks 49%Heat 52%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 240.5$31K vol.Over 54%Under 47%Smart money split
- O/U 238.5$4.5K vol.Over 58%Under 42%Smart money: Under
- Spread -4.5$4.3K vol.Hawks 42%Heat 59%Smart money: Heat
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Hawks (-1.5)"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Hawks holder is HomeRunHazard, with $4.0K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,070 markets (56% won). The largest Heat holder is ComingBack, with $4.6K on it, $672K lifetime loss over 605 markets (97% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hawks (-1.5)"?
Polymarket prices Hawks at 53¢ and Heat at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Hawks. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Hawks and 2% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hawks, by 90 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.